Trump reveals when cheques could go out after promise to give $2,000 to almost everyone in America

The cost of the program was estimated between $300 billion and $513 billion, depending on eligibility rules. Tax analyst Erica York noted that tariff revenue brought in roughly $90 billion—far below what is needed for the promised dividend. Even with optimistic projections, the gap between tariff-generated revenue and the rebate cost remains substantial.

Legal obstacles also threaten the proposal. Trump’s tariff strategy, which he claims would fund the payments, is currently under scrutiny by the U.S. Supreme Court. Several lower courts previously ruled the presidential use of emergency powers to enforce tariffs illegal. If the Court ultimately strikes down the tariffs, any associated dividend system would collapse.

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